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Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Australia · A-LeagueSat, 21 Mar 2026

Melbourne Victory

WDDWD

Sat, 21 Mar 202607:10

4 : 1

Full time

Central Coast Mariners

DWDWW

Pre-match win probability

66.9%Melbourne Victory19.7%Draw13.4%Central Coast Mariners

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners listed tip from the board.

Odds1.11
Confidence66.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Melbourne Victory 66.9%
  • Draw 19.7%
  • Central Coast Mariners 13.4%

Season statistics

A-League · highlighted side is stronger

Melbourne VictoryCentral Coast Mariners

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.3% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20.4% · 1.174.8% · 5
2.5 goals15.6% · 1.539.5% · 2.5
3.5 goals10.4% · 2.314.7% · 1.62

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X70.2%
X229.8%

Match result

Melbourne Victory1.4
Draw4.75
Central Coast Mariners7

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance70.2%
Odds1.11

X2

Chance29.8%
Odds2.62

Melbourne Victory

Chance66.9%
Odds1.4

Draw

Chance19.7%
Odds4.75

Central Coast Mariners

Chance13.4%
Odds7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.11

Melbourne VictoryCentral Coast Mariners
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall83%17%

Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners: prediction & preview

Australia · A-League · Sat, 21 Mar 2026

Melbourne Victory meet Central Coast Mariners in the Australia, A-League on 21 March 2026 at 07:10 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Melbourne Victory at 1.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 66.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 62% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners FAQs

4 questions

What time is Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners?

Kickoff is 07:10 on 21 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners?

Melbourne Victory is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 66.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners prediction, H2H and stats