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Melbourne Victory vs Macarthur Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Australia · A-LeagueSun, 15 Mar 2026

Melbourne Victory

DDWDW

Sun, 15 Mar 202609:00

4 : 1

Full time

Macarthur

LLLDL

Pre-match win probability

53.9%Melbourne Victory23%Draw23%Macarthur

Our prediction

Home · Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory vs Macarthur listed tip from the board.

Odds1.75
Confidence53.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Melbourne Victory 53.9%
  • Draw 23%
  • Macarthur 23%

Season statistics

A-League · highlighted side is stronger

Melbourne VictoryMacarthur

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.4% · 1.021.3% · 19
1.5 goals20.9% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
2.5 goals15.9% · 1.59.1% · 2.62
3.5 goals10.8% · 2.214.3% · 1.67

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X61.5%
X238.5%

Match result

Melbourne Victory1.75
Draw4.1
Macarthur4.1

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.5
No37.5% · 2.5

1X

Chance61.5%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance38.5%
Odds1.95

Melbourne Victory

Chance53.9%
Odds1.75

Draw

Chance23%
Odds4.1

Macarthur

Chance23%
Odds4.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.75

Melbourne VictoryMacarthur
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall70%30%

Melbourne Victory vs Macarthur: prediction & preview

Australia · A-League · Sun, 15 Mar 2026

Melbourne Victory meet Macarthur in the Australia, A-League on 15 March 2026 at 09:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Melbourne Victory at 1.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 53.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 63.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Melbourne Victory vs Macarthur FAQs

4 questions

What time is Melbourne Victory vs Macarthur?

Kickoff is 09:00 on 15 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Melbourne Victory vs Macarthur?

Melbourne Victory is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 53.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Melbourne Victory vs Macarthur prediction, H2H and stats