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Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Australia · A-LeagueSat, 24 Oct 2026

Melbourne Victory

LWDDW

Sat, 24 Oct 202609:40

1 : 1

Full time

Melbourne City

LWLLW

Pre-match win probability

39.8%Melbourne Victory26.3%Draw33.8%Melbourne City

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City listed tip from the board.

Odds1.5
Confidence39.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Melbourne Victory 39.8%
  • Draw 26.3%
  • Melbourne City 33.8%

Season statistics

A-League · highlighted side is stronger

Melbourne VictoryMelbourne City

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.042% · 12
1.5 goals18.8% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals13.4% · 1.7511.7% · 2
3.5 goals8.5% · 2.7516.8% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X50%
X250%

Match result

Melbourne Victory2.38
Draw3.6
Melbourne City2.8

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance50%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance50%
Odds1.5

Melbourne Victory

Chance39.8%
Odds2.38

Draw

Chance26.3%
Odds3.6

Melbourne City

Chance33.8%
Odds2.8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.5

Melbourne VictoryMelbourne City
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall54%46%

Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City: prediction & preview

Australia · A-League · Sat, 24 Oct 2026

Melbourne Victory meet Melbourne City in the Australia, A-League on 24 October 2026 at 09:40 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Melbourne Victory at 2.38. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.75, about 53.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City FAQs

4 questions

What time is Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City?

Kickoff is 09:40 on 24 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City?

Melbourne Victory is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.38. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.75 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City prediction, H2H and stats