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Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Australia · A-LeagueFri, 17 Apr 2026

Melbourne Victory

DLWWD

Fri, 17 Apr 202610:35

2 : 2

Full time

Newcastle Jets

DLWLW

Pre-match win probability

47.3%Melbourne Victory23.1%Draw29.6%Newcastle Jets

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets listed tip from the board.

Odds1.8
Confidence47.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Melbourne Victory 47.3%
  • Draw 23.1%
  • Newcastle Jets 29.6%

Season statistics

A-League · highlighted side is stronger

Melbourne VictoryNewcastle Jets

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.6% · 1.010.9% · 26
1.5 goals21.7% · 1.13.4% · 7
2.5 goals17.5% · 1.367.9% · 3
3.5 goals12.5% · 1.9112.5% · 1.91

Both teams to score

Yes68.8%
No31.2%

Double chance

1X57%
X243%

Match result

Melbourne Victory2
Draw4.1
Newcastle Jets3.2

Both teams to score

Yes68.8% · 1.36
No31.2% · 3

1X

Chance57%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance43%
Odds1.8

Melbourne Victory

Chance47.3%
Odds2

Draw

Chance23.1%
Odds4.1

Newcastle Jets

Chance29.6%
Odds3.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.8

Melbourne VictoryNewcastle Jets
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall62%38%

Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets: prediction & preview

Australia · A-League · Fri, 17 Apr 2026

Melbourne Victory meet Newcastle Jets in the Australia, A-League on 17 April 2026 at 10:35 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Melbourne Victory at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.36, about 68.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.36.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets FAQs

4 questions

What time is Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets?

Kickoff is 10:35 on 17 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets?

Melbourne Victory is the shortest 1X2 price at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 47.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.36 and under 2.5 is 3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.36. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets prediction, H2H and stats