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Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Australia · A-LeagueMon, 29 Dec 2025

Melbourne Victory

WWDLL

Mon, 29 Dec 202509:00

5 : 1

Full time

Wellington Phoenix

WLLWL

Pre-match win probability

58.3%Melbourne Victory21.8%Draw19.9%Wellington Phoenix

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix listed tip from the board.

Odds1.18
Confidence58.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Melbourne Victory 58.3%
  • Draw 21.8%
  • Wellington Phoenix 19.9%

Season statistics

A-League · highlighted side is stronger

Melbourne VictoryWellington Phoenix

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20.3% · 1.174.8% · 5
2.5 goals15.1% · 1.5710% · 2.38
3.5 goals10% · 2.3815.1% · 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X65.6%
X234.4%

Match result

Melbourne Victory1.62
Draw4.33
Wellington Phoenix4.75

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance65.6%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance34.4%
Odds2.25

Melbourne Victory

Chance58.3%
Odds1.62

Draw

Chance21.8%
Odds4.33

Wellington Phoenix

Chance19.9%
Odds4.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.18

Melbourne VictoryWellington Phoenix
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall75%25%

Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix: prediction & preview

Australia · A-League · Mon, 29 Dec 2025

Melbourne Victory meet Wellington Phoenix in the Australia, A-League on 29 December 2025 at 09:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 5–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Melbourne Victory at 1.62. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 58.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 60.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix FAQs

4 questions

What time is Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix?

Kickoff is 09:00 on 29 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix?

Melbourne Victory is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.62. The margin-adjusted share is about 58.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.38.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix prediction, H2H and stats