Get Premium

Melita vs Marsa Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Malta · Challenge LeagueSun, 11 Jan 2026

Melita

2nd in table · 32 pts

WLDLW

Sun, 11 Jan 202616:30

3 : 2

Full time

Marsa

14th in table · 8 pts

DWLWD

Pre-match win probability

54.4%Melita24.9%Draw20.7%Marsa

Our prediction

Melita

Melita is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.65
Confidence54.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Melita 54.4%
  • Draw 24.9%
  • Marsa 20.7%

Season statistics

Challenge League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MelitaMarsa
Goals scored (avg)
0.91.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.71.8
Wins
102
Played
1515

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Melita3W 1D 6L in last 10
  • 23 OctZebbug Rangers1 – 2MelitaW
  • 17 OctMelita0 – 2Pietà HotspursL
  • 11 OctAttard0 – 0MelitaD
  • 19 SeptMelita1 – 2Mgarr UnitedL
  • 13 SeptGudja United0 – 3MelitaW
Marsa2W 4D 4L in last 10
  • 18 AprZebbug Rangers1 – 1MarsaD
  • 11 AprMarsa5 – 0MtarfaW
  • 1 AprZurrieq2 – 1MarsaL
  • 14 MarSanta Lucía0 – 1MarsaW
  • 8 MarMarsa3 – 3Gudja UnitedD
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals57.1% · 1.6542.9% · 2.2

Double chance

1X64.2%
X235.8%

Match result

Melita1.65
Draw3.6
Marsa4.33

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance64.2%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance35.8%
Odds2.1

Melita

Chance54.4%
Odds1.65

Draw

Chance24.9%
Odds3.6

Marsa

Chance20.7%
Odds4.33

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Melita at 1.65

MelitaMarsa
Recent form50%50%
Attack36%64%
Defence52%48%
Goals model36%64%
Overall72%28%

Trends

Trend · Challenge League

Melita scored 0.9 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Challenge League

Melita conceded 1.7 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Challenge League

Failed to score in 6 of those 10.

Trend · Challenge League

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

Melita vs Marsa: prediction & preview

Malta · Challenge League · Sun, 11 Jan 2026

Melita meet Marsa in the Malta, Challenge League on 11 January 2026 at 16:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Melita at 1.65. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Melita vs Marsa FAQs

4 questions

What time is Melita vs Marsa?

Kickoff is 16:30 on 11 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Melita vs Marsa?

Melita is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.65. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.65 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.