Mercedes vs El Porvenir Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Argentina · Primera CSat, 18 Jul 2026

Mercedes

DWWLD

Sat, 18 Jul 202619:00

2 : 0

Full time

El Porvenir

DDDLD

Pre-match win probability

35%Mercedes34%Draw31%El Porvenir

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Mercedes

Mercedes vs El Porvenir listed tip from the board.

Odds1.33
Confidence35%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Mercedes 35%
  • Draw 34%
  • El Porvenir 31%

Season statistics

Primera C · highlighted side is stronger

MercedesEl Porvenir

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals20.7% · 1.124.2% · 5.5
1.5 goals14.8% · 1.5710.3% · 2.25
2.5 goals8.4% · 2.7516.6% · 1.4
3.5 goals4.2% · 5.520.7% · 1.12

Both teams to score

Yes41.1%
No58.9%

Double chance

1X52%
X248%

Match result

Mercedes2.55
Draw2.62
El Porvenir2.88

Both teams to score

Yes41.1% · 2.25
No58.9% · 1.57

1X

Chance52%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance48%
Odds1.44

Mercedes

Chance35%
Odds2.55

Draw

Chance34%
Odds2.62

El Porvenir

Chance31%
Odds2.88

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.33

MercedesEl Porvenir
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall53%47%

Mercedes vs El Porvenir: prediction & preview

Argentina · Primera C · Sat, 18 Jul 2026

Mercedes meet El Porvenir in the Argentina, Primera C on 18 July 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Mercedes at 2.55. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 35% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.4, about 66.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Mercedes vs El Porvenir FAQs

4 questions

What time is Mercedes vs El Porvenir?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 18 July 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Mercedes vs El Porvenir?

Mercedes is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.55. The margin-adjusted share is about 35%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.75 and under 2.5 is 1.4.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.25. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Mercedes vs El Porvenir prediction, H2H and stats