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Mercedes vs Leones de Rosario Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Argentina · Primera CSat, 17 Oct 2026

Mercedes

WDWWD

Sat, 17 Oct 202620:30

2 : 1

Full time

Leones de Rosario

WWLDD

Pre-match win probability

26.3%Mercedes33.1%Draw40.6%Leones de Rosario

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Mercedes

Mercedes vs Leones de Rosario listed tip from the board.

Odds1.55
Confidence40.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Mercedes 26.3%
  • Draw 33.1%
  • Leones de Rosario 40.6%

Season statistics

Primera C · highlighted side is stronger

MercedesLeones de Rosario

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21% · 1.113.9% · 6
1.5 goals15.2% · 1.539.8% · 2.38
2.5 goals8.9% · 2.6216.2% · 1.44
3.5 goals4.7% · 520.4% · 1.14

Both teams to score

Yes41.1%
No58.9%

Double chance

1X44.6%
X255.4%

Match result

Mercedes3.4
Draw2.7
Leones de Rosario2.2

Both teams to score

Yes41.1% · 2.25
No58.9% · 1.57

1X

Chance44.6%
Odds1.55

X2

Chance55.4%
Odds1.25

Mercedes

Chance26.3%
Odds3.4

Draw

Chance33.1%
Odds2.7

Leones de Rosario

Chance40.6%
Odds2.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.55

MercedesLeones de Rosario
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall39%61%

Mercedes vs Leones de Rosario: prediction & preview

Argentina · Primera C · Sat, 17 Oct 2026

Mercedes meet Leones de Rosario in the Argentina, Primera C on 17 October 2026 at 20:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Leones de Rosario at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.44, about 64.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Mercedes vs Leones de Rosario FAQs

4 questions

What time is Mercedes vs Leones de Rosario?

Kickoff is 20:30 on 17 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Mercedes vs Leones de Rosario?

Leones de Rosario is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.62 and under 2.5 is 1.44.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.25. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Mercedes vs Leones de Rosario prediction, H2H and stats