Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mérida AD

LWDWD

Fri, 19 Dec 202521:15

2 : 3

Full time

Athletic Club II

LLWWW

Pre-match win probability

39%Mérida AD28.9%Draw32%Athletic Club II

Our prediction

Draw · Mérida AD

Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II listed tip from the board.

Odds3.1
Confidence39%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Mérida AD 39%
  • Draw 28.9%
  • Athletic Club II 32%

Season statistics

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · highlighted side is stronger

Mérida ADAthletic Club II

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.052.8% · 8.5
1.5 goals17.2% · 1.367.8% · 3
2.5 goals11.2% · 2.113.8% · 1.7
3.5 goals6.2% · 3.7518.7% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X50%
X250%

Match result

Mérida AD2.3
Draw3.1
Athletic Club II2.8

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance50%
Odds1.44

X2

Chance50%
Odds1.44

Mérida AD

Chance39%
Odds2.3

Draw

Chance28.9%
Odds3.1

Athletic Club II

Chance32%
Odds2.8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.1

Mérida ADAthletic Club II
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall55%45%

Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II: prediction & preview

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Fri, 19 Dec 2025

Mérida AD meet Athletic Club II in the Spain, Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 19 December 2025 at 21:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Mérida AD at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II FAQs

4 questions

What time is Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II?

Kickoff is 21:15 on 19 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II?

Mérida AD is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 39%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II prediction, H2H and stats