Get Premium

Mérida AD vs Cacereño Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1Sun, 4 Oct 2026

Mérida AD

LLLLW

Sun, 4 Oct 202617:45

2 : 0

Full time

Cacereño

DWLWW

Pre-match win probability

44.6%Mérida AD27.9%Draw27.5%Cacereño

Our prediction

Away · Mérida AD

Mérida AD vs Cacereño listed tip from the board.

Odds3.25
Confidence44.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Mérida AD 44.6%
  • Draw 27.9%
  • Cacereño 27.5%

Season statistics

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · highlighted side is stronger

Mérida ADCacereño

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.2% · 1.062.9% · 8
1.5 goals18.1% · 1.36.9% · 3.4
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.7% · 1.85
3.5 goals6.9% · 3.418.1% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X57.2%
X242.8%

Match result

Mérida AD2
Draw3.2
Cacereño3.25

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance57.2%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance42.8%
Odds1.67

Mérida AD

Chance44.6%
Odds2

Draw

Chance27.9%
Odds3.2

Cacereño

Chance27.5%
Odds3.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 3.25

Mérida ADCacereño
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall62%38%

Mérida AD vs Cacereño: prediction & preview

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Sun, 4 Oct 2026

Mérida AD meet Cacereño in the Spain, Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 4 October 2026 at 17:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Mérida AD at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Mérida AD vs Cacereño FAQs

4 questions

What time is Mérida AD vs Cacereño?

Kickoff is 17:45 on 4 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Mérida AD vs Cacereño?

Mérida AD is the shortest 1X2 price at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Mérida AD vs Cacereño prediction, H2H and stats