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Mérida AD vs Mirandes Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1Sat, 12 Sept 2026

Mérida AD

LWWLL

Sat, 12 Sept 202620:00

3 : 4

Full time

Mirandes

WLLWD

Pre-match win probability

30.7%Mérida AD28.8%Draw40.5%Mirandes

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Mérida AD

Mérida AD vs Mirandes listed tip from the board.

Odds1.55
Confidence40.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Mérida AD 30.7%
  • Draw 28.8%
  • Mirandes 40.5%

Season statistics

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · highlighted side is stronger

Mérida ADMirandes

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.9% · 1.073.1% · 7.5
1.5 goals17.2% · 1.367.8% · 3
2.5 goals10.9% · 2.1514% · 1.67
3.5 goals6.2% · 3.7518.7% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X45.6%
X254.4%

Match result

Mérida AD2.9
Draw3.1
Mirandes2.2

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance45.6%
Odds1.55

X2

Chance54.4%
Odds1.3

Mérida AD

Chance30.7%
Odds2.9

Draw

Chance28.8%
Odds3.1

Mirandes

Chance40.5%
Odds2.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.55

Mérida ADMirandes
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall43%57%

Mérida AD vs Mirandes: prediction & preview

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Sat, 12 Sept 2026

Mérida AD meet Mirandes in the Spain, Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 12 September 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–4.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Mirandes at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Mérida AD vs Mirandes FAQs

4 questions

What time is Mérida AD vs Mirandes?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 12 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Mérida AD vs Mirandes?

Mirandes is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.15 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Mérida AD vs Mirandes prediction, H2H and stats