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Mérida AD vs Ourense CF Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1Sun, 7 Dec 2025

Mérida AD

Sun, 7 Dec 202512:00

3 : 2

Full time

Ourense CF

Pre-match win probability

40.9%Mérida AD30%Draw29%Ourense CF

Our prediction

Mérida AD

Mérida AD is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.2
Confidence40.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Mérida AD 40.9%
  • Draw 30%
  • Ourense CF 29%

Season statistics

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · highlighted side is stronger

Mérida ADOurense CF

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.6% · 1.083.3% · 7
1.5 goals16.2% · 1.448.9% · 2.62
2.5 goals9.8% · 2.3815.3% · 1.53
3.5 goals5.4% · 4.3319.5% · 1.2

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X55.1%
X244.9%

Match result

Mérida AD2.2
Draw3
Ourense CF3.1

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance55.1%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance44.9%
Odds1.57

Mérida AD

Chance40.9%
Odds2.2

Draw

Chance30%
Odds3

Ourense CF

Chance29%
Odds3.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Mérida AD at 2.2

Mérida ADOurense CF
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall59%41%

Mérida AD vs Ourense CF: prediction & preview

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Sun, 7 Dec 2025

Mérida AD meet Ourense CF in the Spain, Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 7 December 2025 at 12:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Mérida AD at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.53, about 60.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Mérida AD vs Ourense CF FAQs

4 questions

What time is Mérida AD vs Ourense CF?

Kickoff is 12:00 on 7 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Mérida AD vs Ourense CF?

Mérida AD is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.38 and under 2.5 is 1.53.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Mérida AD vs Ourense CF prediction, H2H and stats