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Mérida AD vs Ponferradina Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1Fri, 24 Oct 2025

Mérida AD

Fri, 24 Oct 202518:00

0 : 0

Full time

Ponferradina

Pre-match win probability

35.9%Mérida AD30%Draw34%Ponferradina

Our prediction

Mérida AD

Mérida AD is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.56
Confidence35.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Mérida AD 35.9%
  • Draw 30%
  • Ponferradina 34%

Season statistics

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · highlighted side is stronger

Mérida ADPonferradina

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.1% · 1.033% · 7.6
1.5 goals17.1% · 1.338% · 2.83
2.5 goals10.7% · 2.1213.8% · 1.65
3.5 goals6.1% · 3.7419.1% · 1.19

Both teams to score

Yes50.7%
No49.3%

Double chance

1X50.7%
X249.3%

Match result

Mérida AD2.56
Draw3.06
Ponferradina2.7

Both teams to score

Yes50.7% · 1.82
No49.3% · 1.87

1X

Chance50.7%
Odds1.4

X2

Chance49.3%
Odds1.44

Mérida AD

Chance35.9%
Odds2.56

Draw

Chance30%
Odds3.06

Ponferradina

Chance34%
Odds2.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Mérida AD at 2.56

Mérida ADPonferradina
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall51%49%

Mérida AD vs Ponferradina: prediction & preview

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Fri, 24 Oct 2025

Mérida AD meet Ponferradina in the Spain, Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 24 October 2025 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Mérida AD at 2.56. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 35.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.65, about 56.2% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.82.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Mérida AD vs Ponferradina FAQs

4 questions

What time is Mérida AD vs Ponferradina?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 24 October 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Mérida AD vs Ponferradina?

Mérida AD is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.56. The margin-adjusted share is about 35.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.12 and under 2.5 is 1.65.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.82. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Mérida AD vs Ponferradina prediction, H2H and stats