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Mérida AD vs Racing Ferrol Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1Sat, 28 Mar 2026

Mérida AD

DLDDW

Sat, 28 Mar 202618:30

2 : 1

Full time

Racing Ferrol

DDWLL

Pre-match win probability

40.3%Mérida AD29.9%Draw29.9%Racing Ferrol

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Mérida AD

Mérida AD vs Racing Ferrol listed tip from the board.

Odds1.3
Confidence40.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Mérida AD 40.3%
  • Draw 29.9%
  • Racing Ferrol 29.9%

Season statistics

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · highlighted side is stronger

Mérida ADRacing Ferrol

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.2% · 1.13.6% · 6.5
1.5 goals16.2% · 1.448.9% · 2.62
2.5 goals9.8% · 2.3815.2% · 1.53
3.5 goals5.2% · 4.519.9% · 1.17

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X54.1%
X245.9%

Match result

Mérida AD2.3
Draw3.1
Racing Ferrol3.1

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance54.1%
Odds1.3

X2

Chance45.9%
Odds1.53

Mérida AD

Chance40.3%
Odds2.3

Draw

Chance29.9%
Odds3.1

Racing Ferrol

Chance29.9%
Odds3.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.3

Mérida ADRacing Ferrol
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall57%43%

Mérida AD vs Racing Ferrol: prediction & preview

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Sat, 28 Mar 2026

Mérida AD meet Racing Ferrol in the Spain, Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 28 March 2026 at 18:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Mérida AD at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.53, about 60.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Mérida AD vs Racing Ferrol FAQs

4 questions

What time is Mérida AD vs Racing Ferrol?

Kickoff is 18:30 on 28 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Mérida AD vs Racing Ferrol?

Mérida AD is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.38 and under 2.5 is 1.53.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Mérida AD vs Racing Ferrol prediction, H2H and stats