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Merthyr Town vs Bedford Town Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · National League - NorthSat, 14 Feb 2026

Merthyr Town

DLLLL

Sat, 14 Feb 202616:00

7 : 1

Full time

Bedford Town

LDLDW

Pre-match win probability

49.2%Merthyr Town24.3%Draw26.5%Bedford Town

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Merthyr Town

Merthyr Town vs Bedford Town listed tip from the board.

Odds1.8
Confidence49.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Merthyr Town 49.2%
  • Draw 24.3%
  • Bedford Town 26.5%

Season statistics

National League - North · highlighted side is stronger

Merthyr TownBedford Town

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals0%1.8% · 17
1.5 goals26% · 1.176.8% · 4.5
2.5 goals19.9% · 1.5312.8% · 2.38
3.5 goals13.5% · 2.2519.4% · 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X59%
X241%

Match result

Merthyr Town1.83
Draw3.7
Bedford Town3.4

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.5
No37.5% · 2.5

1X

Chance59%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance41%
Odds1.8

Merthyr Town

Chance49.2%
Odds1.83

Draw

Chance24.3%
Odds3.7

Bedford Town

Chance26.5%
Odds3.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.8

Merthyr TownBedford Town
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall65%35%

Merthyr Town vs Bedford Town: prediction & preview

England · National League - North · Sat, 14 Feb 2026

Merthyr Town meet Bedford Town in the England, National League - North on 14 February 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 7–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Merthyr Town at 1.83. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 49.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 60.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Merthyr Town vs Bedford Town FAQs

4 questions

What time is Merthyr Town vs Bedford Town?

Kickoff is 16:00 on 14 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Merthyr Town vs Bedford Town?

Merthyr Town is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.83. The margin-adjusted share is about 49.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.38.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Merthyr Town vs Bedford Town prediction, H2H and stats