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Merthyr Town vs Buxton Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · National League - NorthSat, 28 Feb 2026

Merthyr Town

Sat, 28 Feb 202616:00

1 : 3

Full time

Buxton

Pre-match win probability

40.7%Merthyr Town23.5%Draw35.9%Buxton

Our prediction

Merthyr Town

Merthyr Town is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.25
Confidence40.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Merthyr Town 40.7%
  • Draw 23.5%
  • Buxton 35.9%

Season statistics

National League - North · highlighted side is stronger

Merthyr TownBuxton

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals0%1.3% · 23
1.5 goals27.6% · 1.115.1% · 6
2.5 goals21.9% · 1.411.1% · 2.75
3.5 goals16% · 1.9117% · 1.8

Both teams to score

Yes66.3%
No33.7%

Double chance

1X51.1%
X248.9%

Match result

Merthyr Town2.25
Draw3.9
Buxton2.55

Both teams to score

Yes66.3% · 1.4
No33.7% · 2.75

1X

Chance51.1%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance48.9%
Odds1.57

Merthyr Town

Chance40.7%
Odds2.25

Draw

Chance23.5%
Odds3.9

Buxton

Chance35.9%
Odds2.55

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Merthyr Town at 2.25

Merthyr TownBuxton
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall53%47%

Merthyr Town vs Buxton: prediction & preview

England · National League - North · Sat, 28 Feb 2026

Merthyr Town meet Buxton in the England, National League - North on 28 February 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Merthyr Town at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.4, about 66.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.4.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Merthyr Town vs Buxton FAQs

4 questions

What time is Merthyr Town vs Buxton?

Kickoff is 16:00 on 28 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Merthyr Town vs Buxton?

Merthyr Town is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.4 and under 2.5 is 2.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.4. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Merthyr Town vs Buxton prediction, H2H and stats