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Merthyr Town vs Chorley Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · National League - NorthSat, 7 Feb 2026

Merthyr Town

Sat, 7 Feb 202616:00

2 : 3

Full time

Chorley

Pre-match win probability

35.7%Merthyr Town24.6%Draw39.6%Chorley

Our prediction

Chorley

Chorley is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.3
Confidence39.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Merthyr Town 35.7%
  • Draw 24.6%
  • Chorley 39.6%

Season statistics

National League - North · highlighted side is stronger

Merthyr TownChorley

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.022.1% · 11
1.5 goals20.8% · 1.124.2% · 5.5
2.5 goals15.5% · 1.59.3% · 2.5
3.5 goals11.1% · 2.114% · 1.67

Both teams to score

Yes64.5%
No35.5%

Double chance

1X49%
X251%

Match result

Merthyr Town2.55
Draw3.7
Chorley2.3

Both teams to score

Yes64.5% · 1.44
No35.5% · 2.62

1X

Chance49%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance51%
Odds1.44

Merthyr Town

Chance35.7%
Odds2.55

Draw

Chance24.6%
Odds3.7

Chorley

Chance39.6%
Odds2.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Chorley at 2.3

Merthyr TownChorley
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall47%53%

Merthyr Town vs Chorley: prediction & preview

England · National League - North · Sat, 7 Feb 2026

Merthyr Town meet Chorley in the England, National League - North on 7 February 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Chorley at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.44.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Merthyr Town vs Chorley FAQs

4 questions

What time is Merthyr Town vs Chorley?

Kickoff is 16:00 on 7 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Merthyr Town vs Chorley?

Chorley is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.44. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Merthyr Town vs Chorley prediction, H2H and stats