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Merthyr Town vs Chorley Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · National League - NorthSat, 29 Aug 2026

Merthyr Town

Sat, 29 Aug 202615:00

1 : 1

Full time

Chorley

Pre-match win probability

37.4%Merthyr Town26.2%Draw36.4%Chorley

Our prediction

Merthyr Town

Merthyr Town is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.38
Confidence37.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Merthyr Town 37.4%
  • Draw 26.2%
  • Chorley 36.4%

Season statistics

National League - North · highlighted side is stronger

Merthyr TownChorley

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Merthyr Town0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Chorley0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      0.5 goals23.1% · 1.011.8% · 13
      1.5 goals19.2% · 1.225.8% · 4
      2.5 goals13.8% · 1.711.1% · 2.1
      3.5 goals8.9% · 2.6216.2% · 1.44

      Both teams to score

      Yes57.6%
      No42.4%

      Double chance

      1X51%
      X249%

      Match result

      Merthyr Town2.38
      Draw3.4
      Chorley2.45

      Both teams to score

      Yes57.6% · 1.62
      No42.4% · 2.2

      1X

      Chance51%
      Odds1.44

      X2

      Chance49%
      Odds1.5

      Merthyr Town

      Chance37.4%
      Odds2.38

      Draw

      Chance26.2%
      Odds3.4

      Chorley

      Chance36.4%
      Odds2.45

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: Merthyr Town at 2.38

      Merthyr TownChorley
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Overall51%49%

      Merthyr Town vs Chorley: prediction & preview

      England · National League - North · Sat, 29 Aug 2026

      Merthyr Town meet Chorley in the England, National League - North on 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Merthyr Town at 2.38. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Merthyr Town vs Chorley FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is Merthyr Town vs Chorley?

      Kickoff is 15:00 on 29 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      Which outcome is shortest on Merthyr Town vs Chorley?

      Merthyr Town is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.38. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.4%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 1.7 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.