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Merthyr Town vs Hednesford Town Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · National League - NorthSat, 8 Aug 2026

Merthyr Town

Sat, 8 Aug 202615:00

2 : 0

Full time

Hednesford Town

WWWWL

Pre-match win probability

34.5%Merthyr Town25.6%Draw39.9%Hednesford Town

Our prediction

Hednesford Town

Hednesford Town is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.25
Confidence39.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Merthyr Town 34.5%
  • Draw 25.6%
  • Hednesford Town 39.9%

Season statistics

National League - North · highlighted side is stronger

Merthyr TownHednesford Town
Goals scored (avg)
–1.5
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1.1

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Merthyr Town0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Hednesford Town5W 1D 4L in last 10
    • 27 OctBedford Town1 – 0Hednesford TownL
    • 24 OctHednesford Town2 – 0Spalding UnitedW
    • 17 OctHednesford Town3 – 2Brackley TownW
    • 10 OctHereford0 – 1Hednesford TownW
    • 26 SeptHednesford Town4 – 1RadcliffeW
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals23.3% · 1.011.6% · 15
    1.5 goals19.6% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
    2.5 goals14.3% · 1.6510.7% · 2.2
    3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5

    Both teams to score

    Yes58.9%
    No41.1%

    Double chance

    1X47.8%
    X252.2%

    Match result

    Merthyr Town2.6
    Draw3.5
    Hednesford Town2.25

    Both teams to score

    Yes58.9% · 1.57
    No41.1% · 2.25

    1X

    Chance47.8%
    Odds1.53

    X2

    Chance52.2%
    Odds1.4

    Merthyr Town

    Chance34.5%
    Odds2.6

    Draw

    Chance25.6%
    Odds3.5

    Hednesford Town

    Chance39.9%
    Odds2.25

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Hednesford Town at 2.25

    Merthyr TownHednesford Town
    Recent form6%94%
    Attack40%60%
    Defence34%66%
    Goals model40%60%
    Overall46%54%

    Trends

    Trend · National League - North

    Hednesford Town scored 1.5 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · National League - North

    Hednesford Town conceded 1.1 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · National League - North

    Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

    Trend · National League - North

    Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

    Merthyr Town vs Hednesford Town: prediction & preview

    England · National League - North · Sat, 8 Aug 2026

    Merthyr Town meet Hednesford Town in the England, National League - North on 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Hednesford Town at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Merthyr Town vs Hednesford Town FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Merthyr Town vs Hednesford Town?

    Kickoff is 15:00 on 8 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Merthyr Town vs Hednesford Town?

    Hednesford Town is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.9%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.65 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

    Merthyr Town vs Hednesford Town prediction, H2H and stats