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Merthyr Town vs Hereford Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · National League - NorthTue, 30 Dec 2025

Merthyr Town

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Tue, 30 Dec 202520:45

2 : 2

Full time

Hereford

LLDWD

Pre-match win probability

49.8%Merthyr Town23%Draw27.2%Hereford

Our prediction

Home · Merthyr Town

Merthyr Town vs Hereford listed tip from the board.

Odds1.8
Confidence49.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Merthyr Town 49.8%
  • Draw 23%
  • Hereford 27.2%

Season statistics

National League - North · highlighted side is stronger

Merthyr TownHereford

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals0%1.5% · 21
1.5 goals27.3% · 1.125.6% · 5.5
2.5 goals21.2% · 1.4411.7% · 2.62
3.5 goals14.5% · 2.118.3% · 1.67

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X59%
X241%

Match result

Merthyr Town1.8
Draw3.9
Hereford3.3

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.5
No37.5% · 2.5

1X

Chance59%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance41%
Odds1.8

Merthyr Town

Chance49.8%
Odds1.8

Draw

Chance23%
Odds3.9

Hereford

Chance27.2%
Odds3.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.8

Merthyr TownHereford
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall65%35%

Merthyr Town vs Hereford: prediction & preview

England · National League - North · Tue, 30 Dec 2025

Merthyr Town meet Hereford in the England, National League - North on 30 December 2025 at 20:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Merthyr Town at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 49.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.44, about 64.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Merthyr Town vs Hereford FAQs

4 questions

What time is Merthyr Town vs Hereford?

Kickoff is 20:45 on 30 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Merthyr Town vs Hereford?

Merthyr Town is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 49.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.44 and under 2.5 is 2.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Merthyr Town vs Hereford prediction, H2H and stats