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Merthyr Town vs Morecambe Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · National League - NorthSat, 24 Oct 2026

Merthyr Town

Sat, 24 Oct 202615:00

1 : 3

Full time

Morecambe

Pre-match win probability

36.6%Merthyr Town25.6%Draw37.7%Morecambe

Our prediction

Morecambe

Morecambe is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.38
Confidence37.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Merthyr Town 36.6%
  • Draw 25.6%
  • Morecambe 37.7%

Season statistics

National League - North · highlighted side is stronger

Merthyr TownMorecambe

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals0%1.8% · 17
1.5 goals26.1% · 1.176.8% · 4.5
2.5 goals19.5% · 1.5713% · 2.35
3.5 goals12.8% · 2.3820% · 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X49%
X251%

Match result

Merthyr Town2.45
Draw3.5
Morecambe2.38

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.5
No37.5% · 2.5

1X

Chance49%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance51%
Odds1.44

Merthyr Town

Chance36.6%
Odds2.45

Draw

Chance25.6%
Odds3.5

Morecambe

Chance37.7%
Odds2.38

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Morecambe at 2.38

Merthyr TownMorecambe
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall49%51%

Merthyr Town vs Morecambe: prediction & preview

England · National League - North · Sat, 24 Oct 2026

Merthyr Town meet Morecambe in the England, National League - North on 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Morecambe at 2.38. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Merthyr Town vs Morecambe FAQs

4 questions

What time is Merthyr Town vs Morecambe?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 24 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Merthyr Town vs Morecambe?

Morecambe is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.38. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.35.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Merthyr Town vs Morecambe prediction, H2H and stats