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Merthyr Town vs Spennymoor Town Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · National League - NorthSat, 14 Mar 2026

Merthyr Town

LWLWL

Sat, 14 Mar 202616:00

2 : 3

Full time

Spennymoor Town

LDLWL

Pre-match win probability

47%Merthyr Town23%Draw29.9%Spennymoor Town

Our prediction

Draw · Merthyr Town

Merthyr Town vs Spennymoor Town listed tip from the board.

Odds3.9
Confidence47%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Merthyr Town 47%
  • Draw 23%
  • Spennymoor Town 29.9%

Season statistics

National League - North · highlighted side is stronger

Merthyr TownSpennymoor Town

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals0%1.5% · 21
1.5 goals27.3% · 1.125.5% · 5.5
2.5 goals21.2% · 1.4411.6% · 2.62
3.5 goals15.3% · 217.6% · 1.73

Both teams to score

Yes64.5%
No35.5%

Double chance

1X57.1%
X242.9%

Match result

Merthyr Town1.91
Draw3.9
Spennymoor Town3

Both teams to score

Yes64.5% · 1.44
No35.5% · 2.62

1X

Chance57.1%
Odds1.3

X2

Chance42.9%
Odds1.73

Merthyr Town

Chance47%
Odds1.91

Draw

Chance23%
Odds3.9

Spennymoor Town

Chance29.9%
Odds3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.9

Merthyr TownSpennymoor Town
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall61%39%

Merthyr Town vs Spennymoor Town: prediction & preview

England · National League - North · Sat, 14 Mar 2026

Merthyr Town meet Spennymoor Town in the England, National League - North on 14 March 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Merthyr Town at 1.91. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.44, about 64.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.44.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Merthyr Town vs Spennymoor Town FAQs

4 questions

What time is Merthyr Town vs Spennymoor Town?

Kickoff is 16:00 on 14 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Merthyr Town vs Spennymoor Town?

Merthyr Town is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.91. The margin-adjusted share is about 47%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.44 and under 2.5 is 2.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.44. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Merthyr Town vs Spennymoor Town prediction, H2H and stats