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Metz vs Lens Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 1Wed, 29 Oct 2025

Metz

18th in table · 17 pts

LDLWD

Wed, 29 Oct 202519:00

2 : 0

Full time

Lens

2nd in table · 70 pts

WLWLW

Pre-match win probability

14.7%Metz21.4%Draw63.9%Lens

Our prediction

Lens

Lens is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.54
Confidence63.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Metz 14.7%
  • Draw 21.4%
  • Lens 63.9%

Season statistics

Ligue 1 · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MetzLens
Goals scored (avg)
1.61.5
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.41.5
Wins
322
Played
3434

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Metz3W 5D 2L in last 10
  • 23 OctDunkerque1 – 1MetzD
  • 17 OctMetz3 – 2SochauxW
  • 12 OctDijon4 – 2MetzL
  • 19 SeptMetz2 – 2Saint EtienneD
  • 14 SeptRED Star FC 931 – 0MetzL
Lens5W 1D 4L in last 10
  • 24 OctLens2 – 1Paris FCW
  • 21 OctClub Brugge KV3 – 0LensL
  • 17 OctEstac Troyes1 – 3LensW
  • 13 OctLens0 – 2Sporting CPL
  • 9 OctLens2 – 1LyonW
H2H
Head to headMetz 3W · 3D · Lens 3W · 2.3 goals a game
  • 8 MarLens3 – 0Metz
  • 26 JulLens2 – 1Metz
  • 12 AprMetz2 – 1Lens
  • 16 SeptLens0 – 1Metz
  • 13 MarMetz0 – 0Lens
  • 24 OctLens4 – 1Metz

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.4% · 1.011.5% · 16
1.5 goals20.2% · 1.175.5% · 4.3
2.5 goals13.6% · 1.7410.4% · 2.27
3.5 goals9.1% · 2.616.5% · 1.43

Both teams to score

Yes52.5%
No47.5%

Double chance

1X30.1%
X269.9%

Match result

Metz6.69
Draw4.6
Lens1.54

Both teams to score

Yes52.5% · 1.77
No47.5% · 1.96

1X

Chance30.1%
Odds2.65

X2

Chance69.9%
Odds1.14

Metz

Chance14.7%
Odds6.69

Draw

Chance21.4%
Odds4.6

Lens

Chance63.9%
Odds1.54

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Lens at 1.54

MetzLens
Recent form47%53%
Attack52%48%
Defence52%48%
Goals model52%48%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall19%81%

Trends

Trend · Ligue 1

Metz scored 1.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Ligue 1

Metz conceded 1.4 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Ligue 1

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · Ligue 1

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 10.

Metz vs Lens: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 1 · Wed, 29 Oct 2025

Metz meet Lens in the France, Ligue 1 on 29 October 2025 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lens at 1.54. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 63.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.74, about 56.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.77.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Metz vs Lens FAQs

4 questions

What time is Metz vs Lens?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 29 October 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Metz vs Lens?

Lens is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.54. The margin-adjusted share is about 63.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.74 and under 2.5 is 2.27.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.77. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.