Metz vs Lille Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 1Fri, 6 Feb 2026

Metz

LLLLD

Fri, 6 Feb 202620:45

0 : 0

Full time

Lille

LWLLL

Pre-match win probability

22.3%Metz23.4%Draw54.2%Lille

Our prediction

Draw · Metz

Metz vs Lille listed tip from the board.

Odds4
Confidence54.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Metz 22.3%
  • Draw 23.4%
  • Lille 54.2%

Season statistics

Ligue 1 · highlighted side is stronger

MetzLille

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.1% · 1.256% · 4
2.5 goals13.3% · 1.811.9% · 2
3.5 goals8% · 317% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes53.3%
No46.7%

Double chance

1X37.3%
X262.7%

Match result

Metz4.2
Draw4
Lille1.73

Both teams to score

Yes53.3% · 1.75
No46.7% · 2

1X

Chance37.3%
Odds2.05

X2

Chance62.7%
Odds1.22

Metz

Chance22.3%
Odds4.2

Draw

Chance23.4%
Odds4

Lille

Chance54.2%
Odds1.73

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 4

MetzLille
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall29%71%

Metz vs Lille: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 1 · Fri, 6 Feb 2026

Metz meet Lille in the France, Ligue 1 on 6 February 2026 at 20:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lille at 1.73. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Metz vs Lille FAQs

4 questions

What time is Metz vs Lille?

Kickoff is 20:45 on 6 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Metz vs Lille?

Lille is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.73. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.75. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Metz vs Lille prediction, H2H and stats