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Metz vs Lorient Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 1Sun, 10 May 2026

Metz

LDLLD

Sun, 10 May 202620:00

0 : 4

Full time

Lorient

DLWLD

Pre-match win probability

31.8%Metz25.8%Draw42.4%Lorient

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Metz

Metz vs Lorient listed tip from the board.

Odds1.36
Confidence42.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Metz 31.8%
  • Draw 25.8%
  • Lorient 42.4%

Season statistics

Ligue 1 · highlighted side is stronger

MetzLorient

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.9% · 1.25.3% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.3% · 1.6710.8% · 2.2
3.5 goals9.1% · 2.6215.9% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X44.9%
X255.1%

Match result

Metz3
Draw3.7
Lorient2.25

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance44.9%
Odds1.67

X2

Chance55.1%
Odds1.36

Metz

Chance31.8%
Odds3

Draw

Chance25.8%
Odds3.7

Lorient

Chance42.4%
Odds2.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.36

MetzLorient
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall43%57%

Metz vs Lorient: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 1 · Sun, 10 May 2026

Metz meet Lorient in the France, Ligue 1 on 10 May 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–4.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lorient at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Metz vs Lorient FAQs

4 questions

What time is Metz vs Lorient?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 10 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Metz vs Lorient?

Lorient is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Metz vs Lorient prediction, H2H and stats