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Metz vs Toulouse Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 1Sun, 15 Mar 2026

Metz

LLLLD

Sun, 15 Mar 202617:15

3 : 4

Full time

Toulouse

LDLDL

Pre-match win probability

25.6%Metz27.1%Draw47.3%Toulouse

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Metz

Metz vs Toulouse listed tip from the board.

Odds1.25
Confidence47.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Metz 25.6%
  • Draw 27.1%
  • Toulouse 47.3%

Season statistics

Ligue 1 · highlighted side is stronger

MetzToulouse

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.062.5% · 9.5
1.5 goals17.9% · 1.337% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.9% · 213.2% · 1.8
3.5 goals6.4% · 3.7518.6% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X41%
X259%

Match result

Metz3.7
Draw3.5
Toulouse2

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.91
No50% · 1.91

1X

Chance41%
Odds1.8

X2

Chance59%
Odds1.25

Metz

Chance25.6%
Odds3.7

Draw

Chance27.1%
Odds3.5

Toulouse

Chance47.3%
Odds2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.25

MetzToulouse
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall35%65%

Metz vs Toulouse: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 1 · Sun, 15 Mar 2026

Metz meet Toulouse in the France, Ligue 1 on 15 March 2026 at 17:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–4.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Toulouse at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.91.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Metz vs Toulouse FAQs

4 questions

What time is Metz vs Toulouse?

Kickoff is 17:15 on 15 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Metz vs Toulouse?

Toulouse is the shortest 1X2 price at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 47.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Metz vs Toulouse prediction, H2H and stats