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Mexico vs Ghana Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · FriendliesSat, 23 May 2026

Mexico

LDDLL

Sat, 23 May 202603:00

2 : 0

Full time

Ghana

Pre-match win probability

71.2%Mexico17.4%Draw11.4%Ghana

Our prediction

Mexico

Mexico is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.28
Confidence71.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Mexico 71.2%
  • Draw 17.4%
  • Ghana 11.4%

Season statistics

Friendlies · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MexicoGhana
Goals scored (avg)
1.7–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.1–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Mexico5W 2D 3L in last 10
  • 7 OctMexico0 – 2ChileL
  • 4 OctUSA3 – 0MexicoL
  • 30 SeptMexico1 – 1PeruD
  • 27 SeptMexico1 – 1ColombiaD
  • 6 JulMexico2 – 3EnglandL
Ghana0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headMexico 2W · 0D · Ghana 0W · 1.5 goals a game
    • 15 OctMexico2 – 0Ghana
    • 29 JunMexico1 – 0Ghana

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
    1.5 goals19.3% · 1.225.9% · 4
    2.5 goals13.6% · 1.7311.3% · 2.08
    3.5 goals8.6% · 2.7516.8% · 1.4

    Both teams to score

    Yes42.4%
    No57.6%

    Double chance

    1X77.6%
    X222.4%

    Match result

    Mexico1.28
    Draw5.25
    Ghana8

    Both teams to score

    Yes42.4% · 2.2
    No57.6% · 1.62

    1X

    Chance77.6%
    Odds1.08

    X2

    Chance22.4%
    Odds3.75

    Mexico

    Chance71.2%
    Odds1.28

    Draw

    Chance17.4%
    Odds5.25

    Ghana

    Chance11.4%
    Odds8

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Mexico at 1.28

    MexicoGhana
    Recent form94%6%
    Attack63%37%
    Defence66%34%
    Goals model63%37%
    Head-to-head100%0%
    Overall86%14%

    Trends

    Trend · Friendlies

    Mexico scored 1.7 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Friendlies

    Mexico conceded 1.1 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Friendlies

    Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

    Trend · Friendlies

    Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

    Mexico vs Ghana: prediction & preview

    World · Friendlies · Sat, 23 May 2026

    Mexico meet Ghana in the World, Friendlies on 23 May 2026 at 03:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Mexico at 1.28. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 71.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.62.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Mexico vs Ghana FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Mexico vs Ghana?

    Kickoff is 03:00 on 23 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Mexico vs Ghana?

    Mexico is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.28. The margin-adjusted share is about 71.2%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.08.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 2.2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.