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Mexico vs Portugal Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · FriendliesSun, 29 Mar 2026

Mexico

Sun, 29 Mar 202602:00

0 : 0

Full time

Portugal

Pre-match win probability

21.9%Mexico25.6%Draw52.6%Portugal

Our prediction

Portugal

Portugal is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.8
Confidence52.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Mexico 21.9%
  • Draw 25.6%
  • Portugal 52.6%

Season statistics

Friendlies · highlighted side is stronger

MexicoPortugal

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.042% · 12
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals13.1% · 1.811.8% · 2
3.5 goals7.9% · 317.4% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes53.6%
No46.4%

Double chance

1X38.5%
X261.5%

Match result

Mexico4.33
Draw3.7
Portugal1.8

Both teams to score

Yes53.6% · 1.73
No46.4% · 2

1X

Chance38.5%
Odds1.95

X2

Chance61.5%
Odds1.22

Mexico

Chance21.9%
Odds4.33

Draw

Chance25.6%
Odds3.7

Portugal

Chance52.6%
Odds1.8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Portugal at 1.8

MexicoPortugal
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall29%71%

Mexico vs Portugal: prediction & preview

World · Friendlies · Sun, 29 Mar 2026

Mexico meet Portugal in the World, Friendlies on 29 March 2026 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Portugal at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 52.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Mexico vs Portugal FAQs

4 questions

What time is Mexico vs Portugal?

Kickoff is 02:00 on 29 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Mexico vs Portugal?

Portugal is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 52.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Mexico vs Portugal prediction, H2H and stats