Mexico vs South Africa Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · World CupThu, 11 Jun 2026

Mexico

Thu, 11 Jun 202620:00

2 : 0

Full time

South Africa

Pre-match win probability

67.8%Mexico21.1%Draw11.2%South Africa

Our prediction

Under 3.5 · Mexico

Mexico vs South Africa listed tip from the board.

Odds1.4
Confidence67.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Mexico 67.8%
  • Draw 21.1%
  • South Africa 11.2%

Season statistics

World Cup · highlighted side is stronger

MexicoSouth Africa

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.5% · 1.367.4% · 3.2
2.5 goals11.3% · 2.113.8% · 1.73
3.5 goals6% · 419.1% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes39.1%
No60.9%

Double chance

1X71.8%
X228.2%

Match result

Mexico1.4
Draw4.5
South Africa8.5

Both teams to score

Yes39.1% · 2.38
No60.9% · 1.53

1X

Chance71.8%
Odds1.08

X2

Chance28.2%
Odds2.75

Mexico

Chance67.8%
Odds1.4

Draw

Chance21.1%
Odds4.5

South Africa

Chance11.2%
Odds8.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Under 3.5 at 1.4

MexicoSouth Africa
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall86%14%

Mexico vs South Africa: prediction & preview

World · World Cup · Thu, 11 Jun 2026

Mexico meet South Africa in the World, World Cup on 11 June 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Mexico at 1.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 67.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Mexico vs South Africa FAQs

4 questions

What time is Mexico vs South Africa?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 11 June 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Mexico vs South Africa?

Mexico is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 67.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.73.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.38. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Mexico vs South Africa prediction, H2H and stats