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Middlesbrough vs Cardiff Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · ChampionshipSat, 17 Oct 2026

Middlesbrough

1st in table · 25 pts

DDWWW

Sat, 17 Oct 202612:30

2 : 2

Full time

Cardiff

16th in table · 14 pts

WLWLD

Pre-match win probability

61.8%Middlesbrough21%Draw17.2%Cardiff

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough vs Cardiff listed tip from the board.

Odds1.14
Confidence61.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Middlesbrough 61.8%
  • Draw 21%
  • Cardiff 17.2%

Season statistics

Championship · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MiddlesbroughCardiff
Goals scored (avg)
2.1–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.6–
Wins
73
Played
1212

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Middlesbrough5W 3D 1L in last 9
  • 23 OctBolton1 – 5MiddlesbroughW
  • 13 OctStoke City2 – 3MiddlesbroughW
  • 10 OctMiddlesbrough1 – 0WolvesW
  • 19 SeptBirmingham2 – 2MiddlesbroughD
  • 15 SeptMiddlesbrough2 – 2MillwallD
Cardiff0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headMiddlesbrough 6W · 2D · Cardiff 1W · 2.9 goals a game
    • 4 JanMiddlesbrough1 – 1Cardiff
    • 31 AugCardiff0 – 2Middlesbrough
    • 27 AprCardiff1 – 4Middlesbrough
    • 3 OctMiddlesbrough2 – 0Cardiff
    • 11 FebCardiff1 – 3Middlesbrough
    • 13 SeptMiddlesbrough2 – 3Cardiff

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals23.7% · 1.011% · 23
    1.5 goals21.5% · 1.113.7% · 6.5
    2.5 goals17.1% · 1.48% · 3
    3.5 goals12.5% · 1.9112.5% · 1.91

    Both teams to score

    Yes62.5%
    No37.5%

    Double chance

    1X67.6%
    X232.4%

    Match result

    Middlesbrough1.53
    Draw4.5
    Cardiff5.5

    Both teams to score

    Yes62.5% · 1.5
    No37.5% · 2.5

    1X

    Chance67.6%
    Odds1.14

    X2

    Chance32.4%
    Odds2.38

    Middlesbrough

    Chance61.8%
    Odds1.53

    Draw

    Chance21%
    Odds4.5

    Cardiff

    Chance17.2%
    Odds5.5

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.14

    MiddlesbroughCardiff
    Recent form95%5%
    Attack68%32%
    Defence58%42%
    Goals model68%32%
    Head-to-head78%22%
    Overall78%22%

    Trends

    Trend · Championship

    Middlesbrough scored 2.1 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Championship

    Middlesbrough conceded 1.6 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Championship

    Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

    Trend · Championship

    Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

    Middlesbrough vs Cardiff: prediction & preview

    England · Championship · Sat, 17 Oct 2026

    Middlesbrough meet Cardiff in the England, Championship on 17 October 2026 at 12:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Middlesbrough at 1.53. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 61.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.4, about 68.2% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Middlesbrough vs Cardiff FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Middlesbrough vs Cardiff?

    Kickoff is 12:30 on 17 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Middlesbrough vs Cardiff?

    Middlesbrough is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.53. The margin-adjusted share is about 61.8%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.4 and under 2.5 is 3.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.