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Middlesbrough vs Southampton Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · ChampionshipSun, 4 Jan 2026

Middlesbrough

LLDLW

Sun, 4 Jan 202616:00

4 : 0

Full time

Southampton

DDLDL

Pre-match win probability

45.3%Middlesbrough25%Draw29.7%Southampton

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough vs Southampton listed tip from the board.

Odds1.7
Confidence45.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Middlesbrough 45.3%
  • Draw 25%
  • Southampton 29.7%

Season statistics

Championship · highlighted side is stronger

MiddlesbroughSouthampton

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.225.5% · 4.33
2.5 goals13.8% · 1.7311.3% · 2.1
3.5 goals8.7% · 2.7516.5% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X55.6%
X244.4%

Match result

Middlesbrough2.1
Draw3.8
Southampton3.2

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance55.6%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance44.4%
Odds1.7

Middlesbrough

Chance45.3%
Odds2.1

Draw

Chance25%
Odds3.8

Southampton

Chance29.7%
Odds3.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.7

MiddlesbroughSouthampton
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall60%40%

Middlesbrough vs Southampton: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Sun, 4 Jan 2026

Middlesbrough meet Southampton in the England, Championship on 4 January 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Middlesbrough at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Middlesbrough vs Southampton FAQs

4 questions

What time is Middlesbrough vs Southampton?

Kickoff is 16:00 on 4 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Middlesbrough vs Southampton?

Middlesbrough is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 45.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Middlesbrough vs Southampton prediction, H2H and stats