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Middlesbrough vs Southampton Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · ChampionshipSat, 9 May 2026

Middlesbrough

DWWDL

Sat, 9 May 202612:30

0 : 0

Full time

Southampton

WDLDW

Pre-match win probability

42.8%Middlesbrough27.7%Draw29.4%Southampton

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough vs Southampton listed tip from the board.

Odds1.33
Confidence42.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Middlesbrough 42.8%
  • Draw 27.7%
  • Southampton 29.4%

Season statistics

Championship · highlighted side is stronger

MiddlesbroughSouthampton

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.4% · 1.062.5% · 9.5
1.5 goals17.9% · 1.337% · 3.4
2.5 goals13.2% · 1.811.9% · 2
3.5 goals6.8% · 3.518.3% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X55.7%
X244.3%

Match result

Middlesbrough2.2
Draw3.4
Southampton3.2

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance55.7%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance44.3%
Odds1.67

Middlesbrough

Chance42.8%
Odds2.2

Draw

Chance27.7%
Odds3.4

Southampton

Chance29.4%
Odds3.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.33

MiddlesbroughSouthampton
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall59%41%

Middlesbrough vs Southampton: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Sat, 9 May 2026

Middlesbrough meet Southampton in the England, Championship on 9 May 2026 at 12:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Middlesbrough at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Middlesbrough vs Southampton FAQs

4 questions

What time is Middlesbrough vs Southampton?

Kickoff is 12:30 on 9 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Middlesbrough vs Southampton?

Middlesbrough is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Middlesbrough vs Southampton prediction, H2H and stats