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Millwall vs Derby Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · ChampionshipSat, 31 Oct 2026

Millwall

LDLWD

Sat, 31 Oct 202616:00

vs

Not started

Derby

DLLDD

Pre-match win probability

54.3%Millwall25.6%Draw20.1%Derby

Our prediction

Home Win · Millwall

Millwall vs Derby listed tip from the board.

Odds1.70
Confidence58.8%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Millwall 54.3%
  • Draw 25.6%
  • Derby 20.1%

Season statistics

Championship · highlighted side is stronger

MillwallDerby

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Millwall0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Derby0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headMillwall 5W · 3D · Derby 2W · 1.9 goals a game
      • 10 MarMillwall1 – 0Derby
      • 10 DecDerby1 – 1Millwall
      • 22 FebDerby0 – 1Millwall
      • 19 OctMillwall1 – 1Derby
      • 23 FebDerby1 – 2Millwall
      • 6 NovMillwall1 – 1Derby

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      0.5 goals22.7% · 1.052.2% · 11
      1.5 goals19.1% · 1.256% · 4
      2.5 goals13.2% · 1.811.9% · 2
      3.5 goals7.4% · 3.217.5% · 1.36

      Both teams to score

      Yes53.6%
      No46.4%

      Double chance

      1X39.5%
      1236.8%
      X223.7%

      Match result

      Millwall1.7
      Draw3.6
      Derby4.6

      Both teams to score

      Yes53.6% · 1.73
      No46.4% · 2

      1X

      Chance39.5%
      Odds1.2

      12

      Chance36.8%
      Odds1.29

      X2

      Chance23.7%
      Odds2

      Millwall

      Chance54.3%
      Odds1.7

      Draw

      Chance25.6%
      Odds3.6

      Derby

      Chance20.1%
      Odds4.6

      First half result

      Millwall41.1% · 2.2
      Draw39.3% · 2.3
      Derby19.6% · 4.6

      Half goals

      1st over 0.5100% · 1.33

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: Home Win at 1.70

      MillwallDerby
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Head-to-head65%35%
      Overall73%27%

      Millwall vs Derby: prediction & preview

      England · Championship · Sat, 31 Oct 2026

      Millwall meet Derby in the England, Championship on 31 October 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Millwall at 1.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Millwall vs Derby FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is Millwall vs Derby?

      Kickoff is 16:00 on 31 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      Which outcome is shortest on Millwall vs Derby?

      Millwall is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.3%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.