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Mineros de Fresnillo vs Leones Negros Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga Premier Serie ASat, 14 Mar 2026

Mineros de Fresnillo

Sat, 14 Mar 202618:00

3 : 1

Full time

Leones Negros

Pre-match win probability

34.8%Mineros de Fresnillo25.9%Draw39.3%Leones Negros

Our prediction

Leones Negros

Leones Negros is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.3
Confidence39.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Mineros de Fresnillo 34.8%
  • Draw 25.9%
  • Leones Negros 39.3%

Season statistics

Liga Premier Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

Mineros de FresnilloLeones Negros

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals51.3% · 1.8548.7% · 1.95

Double chance

1X48.3%
X251.7%

Match result

Mineros de Fresnillo2.6
Draw3.5
Leones Negros2.3

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance48.3%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance51.7%
Odds1.4

Mineros de Fresnillo

Chance34.8%
Odds2.6

Draw

Chance25.9%
Odds3.5

Leones Negros

Chance39.3%
Odds2.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Leones Negros at 2.3

Mineros de FresnilloLeones Negros
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall47%53%

Mineros de Fresnillo vs Leones Negros: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga Premier Serie A · Sat, 14 Mar 2026

Mineros de Fresnillo meet Leones Negros in the Mexico, Liga Premier Serie A on 14 March 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Leones Negros at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Mineros de Fresnillo vs Leones Negros FAQs

4 questions

What time is Mineros de Fresnillo vs Leones Negros?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 14 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Mineros de Fresnillo vs Leones Negros?

Leones Negros is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.

Mineros de Fresnillo vs Leones Negros prediction, H2H and stats