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Mirassol vs Corinthians Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie AMon, 4 May 2026

Mirassol

15th in table · 37 pts

WDLWD

Mon, 4 May 202600:30

2 : 1

Full time

Corinthians

18th in table · 33 pts

LLLDL

Pre-match win probability

39.9%Mirassol31.3%Draw28.8%Corinthians

Our prediction

Away · Mirassol

Mirassol vs Corinthians listed tip from the board.

Odds3.25
Confidence39.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Mirassol 39.9%
  • Draw 31.3%
  • Corinthians 28.8%

Season statistics

Serie A · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MirassolCorinthians
Goals scored (avg)
1.50.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.92
Wins
98
Played
3232

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Mirassol4W 4D 2L in last 10
  • 24 OctMirassol1 – 1Sao PauloD
  • 17 OctMirassol2 – 0InternacionalW
  • 11 OctBahia1 – 0MirassolL
  • 7 OctRB Bragantino1 – 1MirassolD
  • 27 SeptUberlandia0 – 4MirassolW
Corinthians0W 2D 8L in last 10
  • 24 OctVasco DA Gama3 – 2CorinthiansL
  • 20 OctCorinthians1 – 1VitoriaD
  • 11 OctPalmeiras4 – 1CorinthiansL
  • 7 OctInternacional2 – 1CorinthiansL
  • 20 SeptCorinthians1 – 3FluminenseL
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.083% · 8
1.5 goals17.5% · 1.367.4% · 3.2
2.5 goals11.3% · 2.114% · 1.7
3.5 goals5.9% · 419% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X53.6%
X246.4%

Match result

Mirassol2.35
Draw3
Corinthians3.25

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance53.6%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance46.4%
Odds1.57

Mirassol

Chance39.9%
Odds2.35

Draw

Chance31.3%
Odds3

Corinthians

Chance28.8%
Odds3.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 3.25

MirassolCorinthians
Recent form89%11%
Attack63%37%
Defence68%32%
Goals model63%37%
Overall58%42%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Mirassol scored 1.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie A

Mirassol conceded 0.9 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie A

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · Serie A

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Mirassol vs Corinthians: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Mon, 4 May 2026

Mirassol meet Corinthians in the Brazil, Serie A on 4 May 2026 at 00:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Mirassol at 2.35. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Mirassol vs Corinthians FAQs

4 questions

What time is Mirassol vs Corinthians?

Kickoff is 00:30 on 4 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Mirassol vs Corinthians?

Mirassol is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.35. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.