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Modena vs Padova Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie BSat, 28 Feb 2026

Modena

WWWLD

Sat, 28 Feb 202615:00

1 : 2

Full time

Padova

DLWDL

Pre-match win probability

65.5%Modena22.1%Draw12.4%Padova

Our prediction

1X · Modena

Modena vs Padova listed tip from the board.

Odds1.11
Confidence65.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Modena 65.5%
  • Draw 22.1%
  • Padova 12.4%

Season statistics

Serie B · highlighted side is stronger

ModenaPadova

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.8% · 1.8512.1% · 1.95
3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X70.2%
X229.8%

Match result

Modena1.42
Draw4.2
Padova7.5

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance70.2%
Odds1.11

X2

Chance29.8%
Odds2.62

Modena

Chance65.5%
Odds1.42

Draw

Chance22.1%
Odds4.2

Padova

Chance12.4%
Odds7.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.11

ModenaPadova
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall84%16%

Modena vs Padova: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie B · Sat, 28 Feb 2026

Modena meet Padova in the Italy, Serie B on 28 February 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Modena at 1.42. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 65.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Modena vs Padova FAQs

4 questions

What time is Modena vs Padova?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 28 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Modena vs Padova?

Modena is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.42. The margin-adjusted share is about 65.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Modena vs Padova prediction, H2H and stats