Moldova vs Bulgaria Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · FriendliesFri, 5 Jun 2026

Moldova

Fri, 5 Jun 202618:00

2 : 2

Full time

Bulgaria

Pre-match win probability

28.8%Moldova32.9%Draw38.4%Bulgaria

Our prediction

Bulgaria

Bulgaria is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.4
Confidence38.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Moldova 28.8%
  • Draw 32.9%
  • Bulgaria 38.4%

Season statistics

Friendlies · highlighted side is stronger

MoldovaBulgaria

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.4% · 1.13.4% · 7
1.5 goals16.8% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
2.5 goals10% · 2.3515% · 1.57
3.5 goals5.4% · 4.3319.6% · 1.2

Both teams to score

Yes46.4%
No53.6%

Double chance

1X42.4%
X257.6%

Match result

Moldova3.2
Draw2.8
Bulgaria2.4

Both teams to score

Yes46.4% · 2
No53.6% · 1.73

1X

Chance42.4%
Odds1.7

X2

Chance57.6%
Odds1.25

Moldova

Chance28.8%
Odds3.2

Draw

Chance32.9%
Odds2.8

Bulgaria

Chance38.4%
Odds2.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Bulgaria at 2.4

MoldovaBulgaria
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall43%57%

Moldova vs Bulgaria: prediction & preview

World · Friendlies · Fri, 5 Jun 2026

Moldova meet Bulgaria in the World, Friendlies on 5 June 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Bulgaria at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Moldova vs Bulgaria FAQs

4 questions

What time is Moldova vs Bulgaria?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 5 June 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Moldova vs Bulgaria?

Bulgaria is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 38.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.35 and under 2.5 is 1.57.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Moldova vs Bulgaria prediction, H2H and stats