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Monaco vs Lyon Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 1Sat, 3 Jan 2026

Monaco

WLWLW

Sat, 3 Jan 202617:00

1 : 2

Live

Lyon

WWWLW

Pre-match win probability

45.4%Monaco25.8%Draw28.9%Lyon

Our prediction

Away · Monaco

Monaco vs Lyon listed tip from the board.

Odds3.3
Confidence45.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Monaco 45.4%
  • Draw 25.8%
  • Lyon 28.9%

Season statistics

Ligue 1 · highlighted side is stronger

MonacoLyon

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20.3% · 1.174.8% · 5
2.5 goals14.7% · 1.6210.3% · 2.3
3.5 goals10% · 2.3815.2% · 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%
No39.1%

Double chance

1X56.1%
X243.9%

Match result

Monaco2.1
Draw3.7
Lyon3.3

Both teams to score

Yes60.9% · 1.53
No39.1% · 2.38

1X

Chance56.1%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance43.9%
Odds1.7

Monaco

Chance45.4%
Odds2.1

Draw

Chance25.8%
Odds3.7

Lyon

Chance28.9%
Odds3.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 3.3

MonacoLyon
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall61%39%

Monaco vs Lyon: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 1 · Sat, 3 Jan 2026

Monaco meet Lyon in the France, Ligue 1 on 3 January 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Monaco at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Monaco vs Lyon FAQs

4 questions

What time is Monaco vs Lyon?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 3 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Monaco vs Lyon?

Monaco is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 45.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Monaco vs Lyon prediction, H2H and stats