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Monaco vs Marseille Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 1Sun, 5 Apr 2026

Monaco

DWLWD

Sun, 5 Apr 202619:45

2 : 1

Full time

Marseille

WLWLW

Pre-match win probability

46.4%Monaco25.7%Draw28%Marseille

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Monaco

Monaco vs Marseille listed tip from the board.

Odds1.36
Confidence46.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Monaco 46.4%
  • Draw 25.7%
  • Marseille 28%

Season statistics

Ligue 1 · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MonacoMarseille
Goals scored (avg)
1.71.5
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.81.9

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Monaco6W 3D 1L in last 10
  • 25 OctMonaco1 – 1LilleD
  • 22 OctMonaco3 – 0SC FreiburgW
  • 18 OctLorient1 – 0MonacoL
  • 15 OctCSKA Sofia1 – 2MonacoW
  • 10 OctMonaco2 – 2ToulouseD
Marseille3W 0D 7L in last 10
  • 25 OctMarseille4 – 3Le HavreW
  • 22 OctSturm Graz1 – 0MarseilleL
  • 18 OctAngers2 – 5MarseilleW
  • 15 OctMarseille0 – 1Olympiakos PiraeusL
  • 11 OctEstac Troyes0 – 2MarseilleW
H2H
Head to headMonaco 4W · 2D · Marseille 3W · 2.9 goals a game
  • 30 AugMonaco2 – 0Marseille
  • 14 DecMarseille1 – 0Monaco
  • 12 AprMonaco3 – 0Marseille
  • 1 DecMarseille2 – 1Monaco
  • 27 JanMarseille2 – 2Monaco
  • 30 SeptMonaco3 – 2Marseille

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20.3% · 1.174.8% · 5
2.5 goals15.2% · 1.5710% · 2.38
3.5 goals10.3% · 2.314.7% · 1.62

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X55.6%
X244.4%

Match result

Monaco2.05
Draw3.7
Marseille3.4

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.5
No37.5% · 2.5

1X

Chance55.6%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance44.4%
Odds1.7

Monaco

Chance46.4%
Odds2.05

Draw

Chance25.7%
Odds3.7

Marseille

Chance28%
Odds3.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.36

MonacoMarseille
Recent form70%30%
Attack53%47%
Defence67%33%
Goals model53%47%
Head-to-head56%44%
Overall62%38%

Trends

Trend · Ligue 1

Monaco scored 1.7 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Ligue 1

Monaco conceded 0.8 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Ligue 1

Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

Trend · Ligue 1

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Monaco vs Marseille: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 1 · Sun, 5 Apr 2026

Monaco meet Marseille in the France, Ligue 1 on 5 April 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Monaco at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 46.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 60.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Monaco vs Marseille FAQs

4 questions

What time is Monaco vs Marseille?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 5 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Monaco vs Marseille?

Monaco is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 46.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.38.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.