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Monaco vs Marseille Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 1Sun, 30 Aug 2026

Monaco

Sun, 30 Aug 202619:45

2 : 0

Full time

Marseille

Pre-match win probability

44%Monaco25.5%Draw30.5%Marseille

Our prediction

BTTS Yes · Monaco

Monaco vs Marseille listed tip from the board.

Odds2.15
Confidence44%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Monaco 44%
  • Draw 25.5%
  • Marseille 30.5%

Season statistics

Ligue 1 · highlighted side is stronger

MonacoMarseille

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals19.8% · 1.25.3% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.7% · 1.6210.4% · 2.3
3.5 goals9.5% · 2.515.6% · 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X55.1%
X244.9%

Match result

Monaco2.15
Draw3.7
Marseille3.1

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.5
No37.5% · 2.5

1X

Chance55.1%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance44.9%
Odds1.67

Monaco

Chance44%
Odds2.15

Draw

Chance25.5%
Odds3.7

Marseille

Chance30.5%
Odds3.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: BTTS Yes at 2.15

MonacoMarseille
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall59%41%

Monaco vs Marseille: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 1 · Sun, 30 Aug 2026

Monaco meet Marseille in the France, Ligue 1 on 30 August 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Monaco at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Monaco vs Marseille FAQs

4 questions

What time is Monaco vs Marseille?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 30 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Monaco vs Marseille?

Monaco is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 44%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.