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Monarcas vs Leones Negros UDG Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MXMon, 27 Oct 2025

Monarcas

Mon, 27 Oct 202500:00

2 : 3

Full time

Leones Negros UDG

Pre-match win probability

51.7%Monarcas25.4%Draw22.8%Leones Negros UDG

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Monarcas

Monarcas vs Leones Negros UDG listed tip from the board.

Odds1.92
Confidence51.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Monarcas 51.7%
  • Draw 25.4%
  • Leones Negros UDG 22.8%

Season statistics

Liga de Expansión MX · highlighted side is stronger

MonarcasLeones Negros UDG

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.022.2% · 10.5
1.5 goals19.3% · 1.196.1% · 3.76
2.5 goals13.1% · 1.7511.6% · 1.98
3.5 goals8.1% · 2.8317.2% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes55.2%
No44.8%

Double chance

1X61.7%
X238.3%

Match result

Monarcas1.79
Draw3.64
Leones Negros UDG4.06

Both teams to score

Yes55.2% · 1.67
No44.8% · 2.06

1X

Chance61.7%
Odds1.19

X2

Chance38.3%
Odds1.92

Monarcas

Chance51.7%
Odds1.79

Draw

Chance25.4%
Odds3.64

Leones Negros UDG

Chance22.8%
Odds4.06

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.92

MonarcasLeones Negros UDG
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall69%31%

Monarcas vs Leones Negros UDG: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · Mon, 27 Oct 2025

Monarcas meet Leones Negros UDG in the Mexico, Liga de Expansión MX on 27 October 2025 at 00:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Monarcas at 1.79. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.75, about 53.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Monarcas vs Leones Negros UDG FAQs

4 questions

What time is Monarcas vs Leones Negros UDG?

Kickoff is 00:00 on 27 October 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Monarcas vs Leones Negros UDG?

Monarcas is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.79. The margin-adjusted share is about 51.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.75 and under 2.5 is 1.98.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Monarcas vs Leones Negros UDG prediction, H2H and stats