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Monarcas vs Tepatitlán Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MXSun, 15 Mar 2026

Monarcas

7th in table · 19 pts

LDDLW

Sun, 15 Mar 202602:00

3 : 2

Full time

Tepatitlán

8th in table · 18 pts

WDLLL

Pre-match win probability

40%Monarcas27.6%Draw32.4%Tepatitlán

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Monarcas

Monarcas vs Tepatitlán listed tip from the board.

Odds1.62
Confidence40%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Monarcas 40%
  • Draw 27.6%
  • Tepatitlán 32.4%

Season statistics

Liga de Expansión MX · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MonarcasTepatitlán
Goals scored (avg)
1.50.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.13.1
Wins
54
Played
1414

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Monarcas5W 2D 3L in last 10
  • 26 OctTapatío1 – 2MonarcasW
  • 18 OctMonarcas1 – 2CDS Tampico MaderoL
  • 10 OctTepatitlán1 – 1MonarcasD
  • 4 OctMonarcas1 – 1TlaxcalaD
  • 27 SeptVenados FC2 – 1MonarcasL
Tepatitlán2W 1D 7L in last 10
  • 24 OctTepatitlán0 – 4CancúnL
  • 18 OctPiratas3 – 0TepatitlánL
  • 14 OctTapatío4 – 1TepatitlánL
  • 10 OctTepatitlán1 – 1MonarcasD
  • 3 OctTepatitlán3 – 1CDS Tampico MaderoW
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals48.7% · 1.9551.3% · 1.85

Double chance

1X54.4%
X245.6%

Match result

Monarcas2.35
Draw3.4
Tepatitlán2.9

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance54.4%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance45.6%
Odds1.62

Monarcas

Chance40%
Odds2.35

Draw

Chance27.6%
Odds3.4

Tepatitlán

Chance32.4%
Odds2.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.62

MonarcasTepatitlán
Recent form71%29%
Attack63%37%
Defence95%5%
Goals model63%37%
Overall55%45%

Trends

Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

Monarcas scored 1.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

Monarcas conceded 1.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

Over 2.5 goals in 5 of those 10.

Monarcas vs Tepatitlán: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · Sun, 15 Mar 2026

Monarcas meet Tepatitlán in the Mexico, Liga de Expansión MX on 15 March 2026 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Monarcas at 2.35. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Monarcas vs Tepatitlán FAQs

4 questions

What time is Monarcas vs Tepatitlán?

Kickoff is 02:00 on 15 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Monarcas vs Tepatitlán?

Monarcas is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.35. The margin-adjusted share is about 40%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.