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Montedio Yamagata vs Sagamihara Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Japan · J2 LeagueSun, 10 May 2026

Montedio Yamagata

LLDLL

Sun, 10 May 202606:00

2 : 3

Full time

Sagamihara

WWWLD

Pre-match win probability

38.1%Montedio Yamagata28.1%Draw33.8%Sagamihara

Our prediction

Montedio Yamagata

Montedio Yamagata is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.4
Confidence38.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Montedio Yamagata 38.1%
  • Draw 28.1%
  • Sagamihara 33.8%

Season statistics

J2 League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Montedio YamagataSagamihara
Goals scored (avg)
0.51.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.21.3

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Montedio Yamagata2W 1D 7L in last 10
  • 25 OctMontedio Yamagata0 – 2Tegevajaro MiyazakiL
  • 21 OctMontedio Yamagata0 – 2Consadole SapporoL
  • 17 OctFujieda MYFC0 – 0Montedio YamagataD
  • 11 OctMontedio Yamagata0 – 1Vegalta SendaiL
  • 3 OctOita Trinita2 – 1Montedio YamagataL
Sagamihara4W 3D 3L in last 10
  • 24 OctSagamihara0 – 0Tochigi SCD
  • 21 OctFC Gifu2 – 1SagamiharaL
  • 18 OctBiwako Shiga0 – 2SagamiharaW
  • 9 OctSagamihara3 – 2Kamatamare SanukiW
  • 3 OctSagamihara1 – 0OsakaW
H2H
Head to headMontedio Yamagata 3W · 0D · Sagamihara 1W · 2.8 goals a game
  • 1 MarSagamihara2 – 1Montedio Yamagata
  • 12 JunMontedio Yamagata3 – 2Sagamihara
  • 16 OctSagamihara0 – 1Montedio Yamagata
  • 30 MayMontedio Yamagata2 – 0Sagamihara

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.4% · 1.052.8% · 8.5
1.5 goals18.4% · 1.286.7% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.7% · 1.85
3.5 goals7.2% · 3.2517.7% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X51.5%
X248.5%

Match result

Montedio Yamagata2.4
Draw3.25
Sagamihara2.7

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance51.5%
Odds1.44

X2

Chance48.5%
Odds1.53

Montedio Yamagata

Chance38.1%
Odds2.4

Draw

Chance28.1%
Odds3.25

Sagamihara

Chance33.8%
Odds2.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Montedio Yamagata at 2.4

Montedio YamagataSagamihara
Recent form32%68%
Attack26%74%
Defence51%49%
Goals model26%74%
Head-to-head75%25%
Overall53%47%

Trends

Trend · J2 League

Montedio Yamagata scored 0.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · J2 League

Montedio Yamagata conceded 1.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · J2 League

Failed to score in 6 of those 10.

Trend · J2 League

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Montedio Yamagata vs Sagamihara: prediction & preview

Japan · J2 League · Sun, 10 May 2026

Montedio Yamagata meet Sagamihara in the Japan, J2 League on 10 May 2026 at 06:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Montedio Yamagata at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Montedio Yamagata vs Sagamihara FAQs

4 questions

What time is Montedio Yamagata vs Sagamihara?

Kickoff is 06:00 on 10 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Montedio Yamagata vs Sagamihara?

Montedio Yamagata is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 38.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.