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Montedio Yamagata vs Sagan Tosu Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Japan · J2 LeagueSat, 26 Sept 2026

Montedio Yamagata

LLWLW

Sat, 26 Sept 202609:00

2 : 0

Full time

Sagan Tosu

LLLWW

Pre-match win probability

31%Montedio Yamagata28.6%Draw40.4%Sagan Tosu

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Montedio Yamagata

Montedio Yamagata vs Sagan Tosu listed tip from the board.

Odds1.53
Confidence40.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Montedio Yamagata 31%
  • Draw 28.6%
  • Sagan Tosu 40.4%

Season statistics

J2 League · highlighted side is stronger

Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.8% · 1.85
3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes53.6%
No46.4%

Double chance

1X47.8%
X252.2%

Match result

Montedio Yamagata3
Draw3.25
Sagan Tosu2.3

Both teams to score

Yes53.6% · 1.73
No46.4% · 2

1X

Chance47.8%
Odds1.53

X2

Chance52.2%
Odds1.4

Montedio Yamagata

Chance31%
Odds3

Draw

Chance28.6%
Odds3.25

Sagan Tosu

Chance40.4%
Odds2.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.53

Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall43%57%

Montedio Yamagata vs Sagan Tosu: prediction & preview

Japan · J2 League · Sat, 26 Sept 2026

Montedio Yamagata meet Sagan Tosu in the Japan, J2 League on 26 September 2026 at 09:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sagan Tosu at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Montedio Yamagata vs Sagan Tosu FAQs

4 questions

What time is Montedio Yamagata vs Sagan Tosu?

Kickoff is 09:00 on 26 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Montedio Yamagata vs Sagan Tosu?

Sagan Tosu is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Montedio Yamagata vs Sagan Tosu prediction, H2H and stats