Monterey Bay vs Lexington Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · USL ChampionshipSun, 27 Sept 2026

Monterey Bay

Sun, 27 Sept 202603:00

2 : 3

Full time

Lexington

Pre-match win probability

27.6%Monterey Bay26.4%Draw46%Lexington

Our prediction

Lexington

Lexington is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.95
Confidence46%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Monterey Bay 27.6%
  • Draw 26.4%
  • Lexington 46%

Season statistics

USL Championship · highlighted side is stronger

Monterey BayLexington

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.011.9% · 12
1.5 goals19.2% · 1.225.8% · 4
2.5 goals13.4% · 1.7511.4% · 2.05
3.5 goals8.5% · 2.7516.7% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X43.4%
X256.6%

Match result

Monterey Bay3.25
Draw3.4
Lexington1.95

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance43.4%
Odds1.67

X2

Chance56.6%
Odds1.28

Monterey Bay

Chance27.6%
Odds3.25

Draw

Chance26.4%
Odds3.4

Lexington

Chance46%
Odds1.95

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Lexington at 1.95

Monterey BayLexington
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall38%62%

Monterey Bay vs Lexington: prediction & preview

USA · USL Championship · Sun, 27 Sept 2026

Monterey Bay meet Lexington in the USA, USL Championship on 27 September 2026 at 03:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lexington at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 46% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Monterey Bay vs Lexington FAQs

4 questions

What time is Monterey Bay vs Lexington?

Kickoff is 03:00 on 27 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Monterey Bay vs Lexington?

Lexington is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 46%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.75 and under 2.5 is 2.05.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Monterey Bay vs Lexington prediction, H2H and stats