Monza vs Bari Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie BSat, 11 Apr 2026

Monza

DDDWL

Sat, 11 Apr 202618:30

2 : 0

Full time

Bari

WLLWL

Pre-match win probability

70.7%Monza18.8%Draw10.5%Bari

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Monza

Monza vs Bari listed tip from the board.

Odds1.07
Confidence70.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Monza 70.7%
  • Draw 18.8%
  • Bari 10.5%

Season statistics

Serie B · highlighted side is stronger

MonzaBari

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.6% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals14.1% · 1.6711% · 2.15
3.5 goals9% · 2.6216.4% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes46.7%
No53.3%

Double chance

1X75.2%
X224.8%

Match result

Monza1.33
Draw5
Bari9

Both teams to score

Yes46.7% · 2
No53.3% · 1.75

1X

Chance75.2%
Odds1.07

X2

Chance24.8%
Odds3.25

Monza

Chance70.7%
Odds1.33

Draw

Chance18.8%
Odds5

Bari

Chance10.5%
Odds9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.07

MonzaBari
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall87%13%

Monza vs Bari: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie B · Sat, 11 Apr 2026

Monza meet Bari in the Italy, Serie B on 11 April 2026 at 18:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Monza at 1.33. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 70.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Monza vs Bari FAQs

4 questions

What time is Monza vs Bari?

Kickoff is 18:30 on 11 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Monza vs Bari?

Monza is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.33. The margin-adjusted share is about 70.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.15.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Monza vs Bari prediction, H2H and stats