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Monza vs Napoli Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie AWed, 28 Oct 2026

Monza

15th in table · 7 pts

LDLWL

Wed, 28 Oct 202620:45

vs

Not started

Napoli

10th in table · 11 pts

WLLWD

Pre-match win probability

21.7%Monza24.1%Draw54.3%Napoli

Our prediction

X2 · Monza

Monza vs Napoli listed tip from the board.

Odds1.18
Confidence54.3%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Monza 21.7%
  • Draw 24.1%
  • Napoli 54.3%

Season statistics

Serie A · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MonzaNapoli
Goals scored (avg)
1.91.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.91.7
Wins
23
Played
88

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Monza3W 2D 5L in last 10
  • 23 OctTorino3 – 2MonzaL
  • 19 OctMonza4 – 0CagliariW
  • 11 OctLazio3 – 1MonzaL
  • 3 OctStade Brestois 292 – 2MonzaD
  • 26 SeptMonza2 – 3CremoneseL
Napoli3W 2D 5L in last 10
  • 24 OctNapoli3 – 3AS RomaD
  • 20 OctNapoli4 – 3Bodo/GlimtW
  • 17 OctVenezia1 – 0NapoliL
  • 13 OctVillarreal3 – 1NapoliL
  • 10 OctNapoli3 – 0FrosinoneW
H2H
Head to headMonza 1W · 1D · Napoli 4W · 2.5 goals a game
  • 19 AprMonza0 – 1Napoli
  • 29 SeptNapoli2 – 0Monza
  • 7 AprMonza2 – 4Napoli
  • 29 DecNapoli0 – 0Monza
  • 14 MayMonza2 – 0Napoli
  • 21 AugNapoli4 – 0Monza

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.225.5% · 4.33
2.5 goals13.8% · 1.7311.3% · 2.1
3.5 goals8.7% · 2.7516.5% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes54.7%
No45.3%

Double chance

1X35.4%
X264.6%

Match result

Monza4.33
Draw3.9
Napoli1.73

Both teams to score

Yes54.7% · 1.7
No45.3% · 2.05

1X

Chance35.4%
Odds2.15

X2

Chance64.6%
Odds1.18

Monza

Chance21.7%
Odds4.33

Draw

Chance24.1%
Odds3.9

Napoli

Chance54.3%
Odds1.73

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.18

MonzaNapoli
Recent form50%50%
Attack54%46%
Defence46%54%
Goals model54%46%
Head-to-head25%75%
Overall29%71%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Monza scored 1.9 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie A

Monza conceded 1.9 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie A

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

Trend · Serie A

Over 2.5 goals in 8 of those 10.

Monza vs Napoli: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie A · Wed, 28 Oct 2026

Monza meet Napoli in the Italy, Serie A on 28 October 2026 at 20:45 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Napoli at 1.73. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.7.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Monza vs Napoli FAQs

4 questions

What time is Monza vs Napoli?

Kickoff is 20:45 on 28 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Monza vs Napoli?

Napoli is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.73. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.7. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.