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Moralo vs Santa Amalia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 14Sun, 4 Jan 2026

Moralo

3rd in table · 62 pts

Sun, 4 Jan 202618:00

2 : 0

Full time

Santa Amalia

13th in table · 34 pts

DLDLD

Pre-match win probability

51.2%Moralo24.9%Draw23.9%Santa Amalia

Our prediction

Moralo

Moralo is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.75
Confidence51.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Moralo 51.2%
  • Draw 24.9%
  • Santa Amalia 23.9%

Season statistics

Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 · highlighted side is stronger

MoraloSanta Amalia
Goals scored (avg)
–1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1.5
Wins
179
Played
3434

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Moralo0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Santa Amalia1W 5D 4L in last 10
    • 25 OctSanta Amalia3 – 3Cabeza BueyD
    • 21 OctLlerenense3 – 0Santa AmaliaL
    • 18 OctMontijo0 – 0Santa AmaliaD
    • 9 OctSanta Amalia1 – 3VillafrancaL
    • 27 SeptSanta Amalia1 – 1MoraloD
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    2.5 goals48.7% · 1.9551.3% · 1.85

    Double chance

    1X61%
    X239%

    Match result

    Moralo1.75
    Draw3.6
    Santa Amalia3.75

    No BTTS prices stored.

    1X

    Chance61%
    Odds1.22

    X2

    Chance39%
    Odds1.91

    Moralo

    Chance51.2%
    Odds1.75

    Draw

    Chance24.9%
    Odds3.6

    Santa Amalia

    Chance23.9%
    Odds3.75

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Moralo at 1.75

    MoraloSanta Amalia
    Recent form11%89%
    Attack50%50%
    Defence40%60%
    Goals model50%50%
    Overall68%32%

    Trends

    Trend · Tercera División RFEF - Group 14

    Santa Amalia scored 1 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Tercera División RFEF - Group 14

    Santa Amalia conceded 1.5 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Tercera División RFEF - Group 14

    Failed to score in 4 of those 10.

    Trend · Tercera División RFEF - Group 14

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

    Moralo vs Santa Amalia: prediction & preview

    Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 · Sun, 4 Jan 2026

    Moralo meet Santa Amalia in the Spain, Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 on 4 January 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Moralo at 1.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin).

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Moralo vs Santa Amalia FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Moralo vs Santa Amalia?

    Kickoff is 18:00 on 4 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Moralo vs Santa Amalia?

    Moralo is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 51.2%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.