Moreirense vs Benfica Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Moreirense

Sun, 14 Dec 202519:00

0 : 4

Live

Benfica

Pre-match win probability

11%Moreirense22.3%Draw66.8%Benfica

Our prediction

Benfica

Benfica is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.4
Confidence66.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Moreirense 11%
  • Draw 22.3%
  • Benfica 66.8%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

MoreirenseBenfica

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.5% · 1.912.5% · 1.9
3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X28.2%
X271.8%

Match result

Moreirense8.5
Draw4.2
Benfica1.4

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance28.2%
Odds2.75

X2

Chance71.8%
Odds1.08

Moreirense

Chance11%
Odds8.5

Draw

Chance22.3%
Odds4.2

Benfica

Chance66.8%
Odds1.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Benfica at 1.4

MoreirenseBenfica
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall14%86%

Moreirense vs Benfica: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sun, 14 Dec 2025

Moreirense meet Benfica in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 14 December 2025 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–4.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Benfica at 1.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 66.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.9, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Moreirense vs Benfica FAQs

4 questions

What time is Moreirense vs Benfica?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 14 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Moreirense vs Benfica?

Benfica is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 66.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.9 and under 2.5 is 1.9.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Moreirense vs Benfica prediction, H2H and stats