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Moreirense vs Estrela Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaSat, 2 May 2026

Moreirense

LWDLL

Sat, 2 May 202615:30

3 : 2

Full time

Estrela

LLLLW

Pre-match win probability

30.6%Moreirense30.6%Draw38.8%Estrela

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Moreirense

Moreirense vs Estrela listed tip from the board.

Odds1.5
Confidence38.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Moreirense 30.6%
  • Draw 30.6%
  • Estrela 38.8%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

MoreirenseEstrela

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.7% · 1.083.1% · 7.5
1.5 goals16.7% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
2.5 goals10.4% · 2.2514.5% · 1.62
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.2% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X47.6%
X252.4%

Match result

Moreirense3.1
Draw3.1
Estrela2.45

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance47.6%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance52.4%
Odds1.36

Moreirense

Chance30.6%
Odds3.1

Draw

Chance30.6%
Odds3.1

Estrela

Chance38.8%
Odds2.45

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.5

MoreirenseEstrela
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall44%56%

Moreirense vs Estrela: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sat, 2 May 2026

Moreirense meet Estrela in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 2 May 2026 at 15:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Estrela at 2.45. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Moreirense vs Estrela FAQs

4 questions

What time is Moreirense vs Estrela?

Kickoff is 15:30 on 2 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Moreirense vs Estrela?

Estrela is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.45. The margin-adjusted share is about 38.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.25 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Moreirense vs Estrela prediction, H2H and stats